Despite the vendor hype, network computing will dramatically increase users? implementation costs and total cost of ownership by 2000 and organisational complexity will grow in tandem with this.
Although hardware prices are continuing to drop, customers will require additional servers such as dedicated Web servers, and will also need to create firewalls, undertake new development projects and increase support.
This means that the amount of underlying technology will increase and infrastructure and management costs are bound to rise, according to Erik Keller, Gartner?s research director, at the consultancy?s fifth annual Enterprise Systems conference in Chicago this week.
?Pendulum swings are not good and people are getting into too many religious wars about centralised versus distributed computing. Some applications such as disconnected ones are better for fat clients, while others are better for thin clients. Network computing will become a big part of the enterprise architecture, but not all of it, and the client/server legacy installed base is not going to happen,? he said.
But, the emerging hybrid model will result in more complexity in the enterprise and users will need to tie all of these disparate systems together by means of middleware.
As a result, by 2001, message brokers will start becoming increasingly popular, especially among software suppliers, who will start to get bogged down by the wealth of individual integration deals they have to do with other players.
Vendors are likely to build their own brokers, however, as they will consider the technology too important to licence from third parties and the market will go through a consolidation as a result. Users, on the other hand, will be left to take responsibility for their own integration work.
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