Rambus, the Intel-backed memory technology that was expected to replace SDRam, will be "dead" in six to eight months, according to analyst Gartner.
Intel had been planning to design its future semiconductor technology exclusively around Rambus memory. Nearly 18 months ago, analysts predicted that it was the future for PC memory.
But at the Gartner Symposium/ITXpo in Cannes last week, Kevin Knox, senior analyst, claimed that Rambus will not survive past the next six to eight months.
"Rambus is pretty much dead. It made it into some areas such as high-end workstations, but it is dead for the mainstream PC," he said. "It is probably not a wise decision to carry on supporting this technology."
Persistent reports of problems with the manufacture of Rambus, as well as its speeds and high cost, have resulted in a split in the market. Memory vendors have been backing both Rambus and the alternative DDR memory. DDR improves PC performance substantially and does not cost more to produce than the older SDRam technology.
"DDR is very good, and AMD has just announced a chipset based on this technology for its Athlon processors," said Knox.
Earlier this year, Intel was forced to withdraw motherboards supporting the new Rambus memory following reports of viruses.
PC vendors have spent millions preparing to launch systems using the boards, based on Intel's 820 chipset, that were designed specifically to be compatible with Rambus.
Although Intel had originally said that it would support only Rambus for its Pentium 4 processor, the company is also believed to be launching a chipset for the processor designed to work with SDRam.
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