DVD Rom will finally take off in 1999, but the trusted CD-Rom drive is far from dead and the CD-RW is turning out to be a strong competitor, according to IDC.
The market research company said that the trusted CD-Rom will have not one, but two successors - the DVD-Rom, which increases storage capacity, and the CD-RW or ReWritable, which enables users to record and erase data.
While both newer formats will see strong growth in 1999, however, the CD-Rom drive will remain dominant, although growth will start to slow down in the second half of the year, IDC claimed.
More than 93 million CD-Rom drives were shipped in 1998 compared to 5.1 million CD-RW drives and 1.9 million DVD-Rom drives.
But in 1999, CD-Rom shipments are expected to inch down to just under 90 million, while DVD-Rom shipments will triple to 19 million. CD-RW sales will also climb to 14.5 million, almost totally wiping out its write once counterpart, the CD-R.
The DVD-R, which merges DVD-Rom and CD-R technologies, is not destined to become a player until after the Millennium, however.
Falling PC prices have prevented PC vendors from attaching DVD-Rom drives to their mainstream systems for some time and an IBM spokesman said they were still too expensive to be included in entry level models.
IBM now ships the drives on three out of five of its consumer PC models and on various notebooks, however. "It?s slowly working its way down into our lower-price models," the spokesman said.
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