Europe?s biggest telecomms operators will lose almost $400 million in combined revenues to the Internet by 2001, with BT set to suffer a $105 million dent. The losses will come because users will use the Internet to make international calls rather than conventional telephones.
According to telecomms consultancy Phillips Tarifica - in a study called 'The Net Effect: The Impact of the Internet on World Telecommunications Markets' - BT, Deutsche Telekom and France Telecom will respectively see $105 million, $173 million and $94 million, wiped off their revenue sheets in 2001.
In the UK, this could lead to total international call revenue losses of between #90 million and #135 million by 2001. Of some 10 million UK online users by this time, a significant proportion will use the Internet for voice and other forms of communication instead of conventional telephony, said the report.
Deutsche Telekom will see a larger dent in its revenues because of the larger price differential between international and local calls, which makes the Internet an attractive option.
Phillips Tarifica calculates that BT will lose $55 million in the residential market and $50 million among business customers.
?Today, the cheapest per minute call rate from the UK to the US is around 10 pence. By 2001, [with the use of] an Internet phone, this could be reduced to as little as two pence per minute,? says the report.
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