NCs will outsell PCs by 1999, blasting industry preconceptions that the network devices are not sophisticated enough to penetrate the Wintel market.
A report to be published tomorrow by Bloor Research will also predict that sales of NCs will outsell PCs by almost 2:1 by the year 2000. It follows a Bloor report last September which said that NCs are more cost-effective than PCs.
"It is clear the NC will make significant in-roads into the corporation," said the report, The Enterprise in Transition. "They may even destroy the corporate PC market completely."
Bloor predicts the corporate PC market will grow by 4.2% this year, then shrink by 14.7% in 1998 and continue to slide over the next three years as users make a steady migration to NCs. By 2001, the annual volume shipments of PCs worldwide will have dropped to 18 million units, according to Bloor.
"Sales of NCs will grow beyond the current volume of corporate PCs by 2001," states the report.
Assuming unit prices of NCs stay at $500 (#312), Bloor predicts that by 2001, the NC market will be worth $19 billion.
The report believes companies which decide to abandon their PCs altogether will do so by reconfiguring half of them as NCs and replacing the remainder with new NCs.
The Enterprise in Transition report costs u225.
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