Analyst firm Gartner has published a report highlighting eight technologies
which it predicts will have a major impact on the mobile industry over the next
two years. These range from new wireless standards, to user interfaces and new
types of display.
Gartner vice president Nick Jones said in a statement that it is important to
identify technologies that are likely to evolve quickly, as these will have an
impact on the success of any mobile strategies now being planned.
The eight technologies Gartner has identified are
Bluetooth
3.0, mobile user interfaces, location sensing, 802.11n, new displays, the
mobile web, mobile broadband, and
near-field
communication (NFC).
Bluetooth 3.0, set to be ratified later this year, will enable the Bluetooth
stack to use additional wireless interfaces such as Wi-Fi and
Ultra-Wideband
whenever speed is required to transfer large volumes of data.
It will also support the
Bluetooth
Low Energy interface, enabling the creation of new devices such as
peripherals and sensors, and new applications such as health monitoring,
according to Gartner.
Meanwhile, the 802.11n version of Wi-Fi will offer better coverage and higher
speeds, providing performance comparable to 100Mbit/s Ethernet for the first
time. Gartner warned, however, that this involves a "rip and replace" upgrade
that is complex to configure, requires new access points, new client wireless
interfaces, new backbone networks and a new
Power
over Ethernet standard.
Mobile broadband is already with us, the analyst said, with High-Speed Packet
Access (HSPA) providing up to 2Mb of bandwidth over a 3G connection. HSPA
provides adequate connectivity to replace Wi-Fi hotspots, according to Gartner,
and many laptops are increasingly shipping with built-in cellular modems.
Staying with wireless technology, Gartner predicts that NFC may become
significant, but mostly in emerging markets before territories such as Western
Europe and the US. NFC allows for applications such as mobile payments or
exchanging information by touching devices.
Of the other technologies, Gartner believes that user interfaces will become
an area of intense competition in the near future, as phone vendors vie to
differentiate their handsets.
Better user interfaces will make the mobile web more accessible on small
devices, and Gartner said this is now emerging as a low-cost way to deliver
simple mobile applications to a range of devices. Widgets - small web applets -
are also starting to provide a way to stream simple feeds to handsets and
small-screen devices.
New display technologies, such as active pixel, passive and pico projectors,
are expected to hit the market during 2009 and 2010. Passive displays are
finding a use in devices such as electronic book readers, while pico projectors
enable new mobile use cases, making it easy to do ad-hoc presentations.
Finally, Gartner predicted that location awareness will become a key feature
of mobile phones, in applications such as mobile presence and social networking,
but the company warned that exploiting this may create new privacy and security
challenges.
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