Touch-screen sensors will become more common on PCs with the launch of
Microsoft's
Windows
Vista operating system, analysts believe.
The value of the touch-screen market could increase from about $900m this
year to $1.5bn by 2008, predicted Japan's
Nomura Securities
in a report released yesterday.
Unlike Windows XP and other earlier mainstream versions of Windows, four out
of the six versions of Vista incorporate touch-screen support as standard.
An additional factor likely to drive market growth is the success of touch
screens on portable games consoles such as the
Nintendo
DS.
This is paving the way for more touch-screen mobile phones, media players and
other gadgets, according to report author Hajime Ikeuchi, a Tokyo-based analyst
with Nomura.
Touch-screens are standard on handheld tablet PCs and Ultra Mobile PCs, and
are also used in many embedded and industrial computers.
"We estimate the market's current value at around $51m although only about
one per cent of the 200 million PCs shipped annually are equipped with touch
panels," said Ikeuchi.
"We expect this percentage to increase following the release of Windows
Vista, which supports tablet functionality as standard. We look for Windows
Vista to bolster the entire touch panel market."
US-based research consultancy
Venture
Development Corporation estimated in September that the touch-screen market
is growing 10 per cent annually.
Nomura's research concurs with this figure, but expects the growth rate to
accelerate to 18 per cent next year.
The strongest growth will be in PCs, Ikeuchi predicts, with the number of
touch-screen equipped units shipped expected to more than quadruple by 2009.
Touch-screens for in-car navigation systems and several other embedded
applications will also increase, he believes, as falling prices encourage
manufacturers to add touch sensitivity to products.
"Average selling prices continue to decline as manufacturers face pressure
from traditional competitors, low-cost manufacturers in Asia, and cost-sensitive
original equipment manufacturers," said Andrew Nathanson, a project director
with Venture Development Corporation.
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