UK computer scientists have unveiled a technology that lets town planners "
play SimCity" using grid computing and e-science techniques that test the
consequences of their policies on a real, but anonymous, model of the UK
population.
Dr
Mark Birkin and his colleagues at the
University
of Leeds developed the technology using data recorded at the 2001 census to
build a model of the whole UK population, but with personal details omitted.
"We are building a core model which represents the whole of the UK at the
level of [synthetic] individuals and households with many attributes and
behaviours," said Dr Birkin.
Data about these attributes, such as car ownership, house prices and use of
health, education, transport and leisure facilities, is held by different
agencies in different locations and often in different formats.
"Historically, people have assembled data on a single PC or workstation. Our
project provides exciting opportunities to access multiple databases from remote
virtual locations, making it possible to develop highly generic simulation
models which are easy to update," said Dr Birkin.
According to the researchers, the model can be projected into the future to
explore the effect of different demographic trends, and to test the consequences
of policy decisions.
"We can profile populations area by area and forecast attributes such as
health status, employment and car ownership 10 or 20 years ahead," explained Dr
Birkin.
"In the future we will be able to project the effects of policy change and
help policymakers evaluate the impact of their decisions."
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