Microsoft faces its
biggest future threat from internet services such as
Google's growing list of
applications, according to industry analysts.
"Looking at Microsoft's announcements recently you have to wonder what's
going to happen to the corporate desktop. I have a theory that they are going to
be under threat in the next three to five years," said David Ferris, principal
analyst at Ferris
Research.
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Ferris maintained that the Google/Sun alliance could seriously challenge
Microsoft Office and prompt corporations to dump Redmond.
"Most corporations have to use thick client computers mainly because of
Office. It's one of the few remaining thick client applications that the average
corporation uses," said Ferris.
Malte Nuhn, an analyst at
Millward Brown
Optimor, added: "A lot of the things people used to do with standard
applications that ran on the operating system are now being done online. The web
has become a de facto virtual operating system."
However, Nuhn believes that Microsoft is trying to address this area. "As the
web becomes a more powerful platform, and the bandwidth speeds are high enough
to support this, I think we will eventually see these applications moving online
to subscription-based models," he said.
"If Google and Sun could get their act together and get the thin client
version of OpenOffice
up and available for when Vista kicks in then you could see a big defection,"
said Ferris.
However, Ferris felt that it might be too soon for this change at the launch
of Vista and may not happen until the next version of Windows.
"If we look at how long the internet has been around and how much it has
grown in terms of the technological capability to deliver, I think that the
industry is far from mature. There's still a huge potential and we will see
these things shifting gradually," said Nuhn.
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