3G has "finally come of age", according to industry analysts, who predict
that users of the mobile communications technology will exceed 70 million by the
end of this year.
Informa Telecoms and
Media noted that, although 3G technology may not have been mature from day
one, subscriber growth has outperformed that of first-generation analogue and
second-generation digital networks in the four years since
NTT DoCoMo launched the
world's first 3G network in Japan.
Gavin Patterson, an analyst at Informa Telecoms and Media, said: "By the end
of June 2005 there was a total of 43 million 3G users worldwide, and we forecast
a total of 70.6 million by the end of 2005.
"Next year, 3G services will start to reach mass-market proportions and we
are forecasting a total of 135 million 3G users by the end of 2006, rising to
almost 800 million by the end of 2010."
Asia is expected to host some of the first commercial 3.5G networks in the
world. South Korea's KTF is
expecting to roll out
HSDPA in 17
major metropolitan areas by the end of this year, and expand the coverage to 45
more cities by June 2006.
SK Telecom, the
second largest Korean operator, plans to begin HSDPA services in April next
year, and both operators aim to sign up about 500,000
WCDMA/HSDPA
subscribers during 2006.
The third Korean operator,
LG
Telecom, is expected to run a 1xEV-DO Revision A trial from
Lucent Technologies in the
second quarter of 2006, and to set up a commercial version in the third quarter
launch the system by year-end.
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