The chief executive of the UK's Broadband Stakeholder Group warned today that
numerous challenges still need addressing if next-generation broadband
deployment is to succeed.
Antony Walker told attendees at a Westminster eForum entitled The Future
of Broadband in the UK that industry and government are "right to worry
about" broadband deployment, and that future business innovation depends on
ensuring that next-generation services are put in place in the coming years.
"We are facing some serious challenges in this country, and it is vital that
ICT is able to meet these. Sustained economic growth, cutting government costs
and lowering carbon emissions can all be stimulated with next-generation
broadband access," he said.
"A national deployment of broadband could cost anywhere between £5bn and
£28bn depending on whether fibre-to-the-cabinet or fibre-to-the-home networks
are installed, and yet there are still many uncertainties over the business
benefits of installing such a network.
"Furthermore, with such dynamic technological cycles, there is an uncertainty
over where the industry will go and where future threats could come from, making
companies and investors reluctant to commit."
Walker also detailed the differing road maps put forward by the Labour and
Conservative parties, noting that Labour had made commitments to getting the
'final third' and those in rural areas connected with its
Universal
Service Commitment (USC) to provide everyone with access to a minimum speed
of 2MB.
"The Labour government appears to be taking a nuts and bolts approach to the
issue with its offer of direct investment and the proposed 50p tax levy on fixed
phone lines," he said.
"The Conservatives, by contrast, seem to favour a 'market mechanisms'
approach, allowing market forces to dictate the take up in areas where the need
for high-speed broadband is required, and hope that demand will then exceed
current expectations. As such they seem happy to sort the rural issue out later.
"
Walker suggested that there were some key areas where the industry could move
forward without needing to wait for the political situation to become clear,
particularly with the USC.
"The USC appears to have caused very little contention and is something that
should be driven forward. There still needs to be some clarification of what
giving everyone 2MB connections would mean in reality, but it's something that
should be being addressed now," he said.
However, some speakers at the event maintained that the lack of initial take
up of the currently available super-fast broadband packages showed that demand
is not as great as has been suggested.
Ian Fogg, a principal analyst with research company Forrester, explained that
he had not noticed the same "pent up frustration with internet speeds" as there
had been in the past when first-generation broadband emerged.
"There has not been the same immediate take up of high-end broadband speeds
that there was several years ago when people were frustrated with the speed of
dial-up networks and saw the obvious business and consumer benefits of moving to
broadband," he said.
However, both Graham Lovelace from Lovelace Consulting and Jon James,
executive director of broadband at Virgin Media, said that the growing demand
for television accessed through broadband would drive the take up of top-level
speeds in the coming years.
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