18 Jan 2011
The telecoms landscape will undergo significant change during 2011 as cloud platforms grow in prominence, Windows Phone 7 starts to make its presence felt and new data business models and tariffs are introduced.
These are just some of the key issues analyst firm Ovum believes will dominate the telecoms market in the months ahead as outlined in the firm's Telecoms In 2011 report.
Ovum analyst Tony Cripps said that Windows Phone 7 will be the fastest-growing platform in 2011 owing to its "unique and very desirable take on the smartphone user interface".
"Microsoft is finally managing to harness the evident design and user experience nous of its Xbox, Zune and Windows Live teams to create a proposition that is more than the sum of its parts," he said.
"With Microsoft's loyal developer base now having a new target, we can expect Microsoft to increase its portion of mobile developer mindshare in 2011."
Cripps added that this shift will also help Android, predicting that the Google operating system will swamp Apple's developer base to become the most popular platform for developers, all of which will further harm Nokia in the smartphone market.
Another key trend highlighted in the Ovum report concerns the way operators handle the rising demand for data on mobile devices.
"We will also be watching closely for the arrival of innovative new approaches to data service charging, such as quality-of-service pricing or 'data buckets' for use across multiple devices," said Ovum analyst Stephen Hartley.
The regulatory environment will remain at the forefront of telecoms issues, and Ovum analyst Matthew Howett noted that the use of spectrum for mobile broadband will remain a central agenda throughout the year.
"How regulators make spectrum available, in particular the digital dividend and the 2.6GHz bands, will be very important since these bands are most likely to be jointly used for mobile broadband," he said.
The cloud is also expected to grow in prominence. Ovum analyst Evan Kirchheimer said that the use of cloud services will evolve from an early adopter model to early mainstream use, which will affect telecoms service offerings.
"We expect the cloud to have an impact on key emerging telco services such as unified collaboration, software-as-a-service and infrastructure-as-a-service," he said.
"Companies and telcos will also begin to address the issue of federation. We expect a number of federated solutions to emerge in 2011, with intra-company presence being the building block for future federated services."
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Do you agree?
Except for
All well and good, except that the operating system is missing basic functionality of its competitors and is already having update issues. The monolith that is microsoft is already starting to dilute it
Posted by: Donald Frink 26 Feb 2011
...pigs *do* fly
"There is no FaceTime." True. "There is no Copy and Paste." Coming this month. "Windows is 2 years behind." It worked for Xbox ;-) "There is no Tablet." This is the real problem. "PC Purchases are down." False. "Windows Phone 7 is only on AT&T." ...and T-Mobile. And it is coming to Verizon and Sprint in a few months. "Windows Phone 7 is not backwards compatible." Moot point. "...but go ahead and believe." I will. :) +Fastest growing App market +Integration with Office +Etc, etc, etc.
Posted by: cmovie 21 Jan 2011
Which OS
Hello im a geek at least thats what my degree says I have a mobile number that is 14 years old no mean fete and i have used every platform as i have been a phone dealer and im now a software design engineer among others Hats I have, MS is retarded in there aprroach to the customer, I have be come rich because of their OS's inability to deal with what the customer requires dependibilty speed innovation etc, up to last week I used Android and blackberry 1 will grow the other BB decline but android needs discipline and now well its iPhone 4 i used a friends the other day and thats it i give the blackberry to my daughter and the HTC to my son along with my Lenovo X61 it was his turn, bought the 4 and a Mac Pro why i resisted for so long i dont know ,son now calls me a sheep, wife says its the Borg effect resistance is.........
Posted by: Damian McSorley 21 Jan 2011
Looks good
Agree Windows Phone 7 is growing in momentum. Copy and Paste and other features are coming next month by the way. On the other hand it seems that people are tired of Apple's policies and want to move. I think in 2011 WinPhone 7 and Android will be the big winners and Apple and Blackberry the big losers. Nokia is the unknown.
Posted by: Max 21 Jan 2011
A Few Issues
I have had my HTC 7 Trophy running Windows Mobile 7 - A few disappointing facts - it is unable to pick up hidden wireless networks. This is a given or so I thought as long as you knew the SSID - How hard is it to rectify this. I like the selection menu, ie tiles - hey but that's user preference not that there is anything wrong with the iPhone or Android or even symbian for that matter - lets face it, its initially a phone - can you make and receive calls yes - That's it. There's so much hype about all of this that I think we are losing the bigger picture. If you want decent graphics and an all singing device get a laptop or mac book. I do hope there is an update to WM7 just to affect the few issues that there are - and before any says 'I Told you so', the iPhone also has OS updates along with android and any other OS out there. This is for the techies - while the perfect Operating System does not exist we will always be employed :-) ... Mat
Posted by: Mat Gardam 21 Jan 2011
This could happen
I'd disagree with the nay-sayers below - actually when you consider Microsoft are leading in Cloud, UC, Productivity apps, have XBOX as the WW no.1 platform and most importantly have the largest IT developer / partner network on the planet - with WP7 and next versions, they have the last connection required to harness this combined power-stack. When leveraged and scaled through their developer and partner network I think we'll see them take Smartphones to an entirely different level.
Posted by: JuliaN 21 Jan 2011
Get your head out of the sand Apple Fan boys
There is no FaceTime. -- >Coming soon There is no Copy and Paste. ---> in next patch Windows is 2 years behind. ---? Windows 7 fastest selling OS ever There is no Tablet. --> Just announced. Will be shipping by Spring PC Purchases are down. ---> Incorrect. show sources> Windows Phone 7 is only on AT&T. --> in US maybe Windows Phone 7 is not backwards compatible. ---> who cares ...but go ahead and believe.... watch for yourself
Posted by: mark 21 Jan 2011
One guy's comment?
So this article's just the mouthpiece for one guy at some obscure research group--and he likes the Win7 UI, so thus it's obviously going to be the winner? If that's the case, then the Mac should easily trounce WIndows since, oh, 1984 Microsoft will spin the high growth rate as 'success', of course: If you sell 500 units and now sell 5000, that's a growth rate of 1000%!
Posted by: Frogbox 20 Jan 2011
Not sure where your facts come from
The clear Winner is the iPhone 4 followed by Android - then Blackberry and then finally The Win Mobile platform which looks and feels like a kludgy lego fisher price design that is rather infantile and feels even more so when looking at the menu flow. When you factor in the quality of the iphone hardware, the innovative design and the vast number of useful apps- the clear winner is the iphone. If coming from nothing - then yes- the microsoft platform may have the most growth- but it is so far behind it is not even funny.
Posted by: Marco Moser 20 Jan 2011
Have a WP7
I own a WP7 - use to have an iPhone - the Focus WP7 is far better than the iPhone. Easier to use, faster to get to the things I want to do, more intuitive. Just a better experience. Even my wife switched from her iPhone - she has had a BB and iP and loves her WP7. Try it - you'll like it!
Posted by: Buck 20 Jan 2011
Windows Phone needs improvement
@bmovie: You havn't used Windows Phone, You don't know the models of Windows Phone, You don't know that Windows Phone is also on T-Mobile, You don't know Windows Phone is also coming to Verizon, You don't know copy paste is coming in next month, You don't know Windows 7 is selling 7 copies per sec, You don't know Windows is growing faster than Linux and Mac OS, but you still like to jack off too much. Definitely Windows Phone is a new platform, but those who have used it love it. Its not magic, but its really good. I am not sure if this is the best platform, but it is definitely awesome.
Posted by: animageofmine 20 Jan 2011
Check your own facts...
@bmovie, there are a lot of T-Mobile customers that will be very surprised to find out that WP& is only available on AT&T, especially those that have had their WP7 since November. Not to mention that WP7 has been planned for general carrier availability from the start, it is simply taking a little longer for phones that support the Verizon and Sprint networks to show up, but it will take months, not years.
Posted by: Mike 20 Jan 2011
response to "go ahead and believe"
These markets are in their infancy. The winning platform will have the full meal deal - device, cloud servies, tools to build apps, data services and management and security support and tools. This is where Apple and Android are relative newbies. If Microsoft can put Office !!! and XBOX games on the device, they have already proven it as a serious platform. If I had to port any thing as sophisticated as office on any other platform, I would not even know where to begin. I think Wp7 will win in a way that no one will realize.
Posted by: ashvin 20 Jan 2011
...pigs really do fly.
Well, they could if Windows Phone 7 was on AT&T only as bmovie suggested. Howevr, WP7 is on TMobile too and coming soon to Verizon and Sprint. So pigs have to stay on the ground!!
Posted by: PigGazer 20 Jan 2011
The Price of Bacon is Going Up
The USA is not the whole world, who cares if only AT&T are doing Windows Phone 7 over there. PC purchases are NOT down, they are up in numbers; market share may be down slightly, again more in the USA than elsewhere. Who cares if Win Phone 7 is backwards compatible? What should it be compatible with? The clunky predecessors? It would be slagged off even more for that. Tablets? Watch this space. You won't wait long. Of course it will be fastest growing platform, it has the smallest installed base so it's % growth will be biggest which is the measure headline writers and marketeers always use.
Posted by: Randomiser 20 Jan 2011
So starts the mis-information....
While I'm sceptical about it being a runaway success, people who comment in a negative way really should know the facts first. Within a month Copy and Paste will be on the phone, the phone is available on two carries (AT&T and T-Mobile) today and will be available on Verizon and Sprint by the second half of the year. The number of 'useful' apps has also increased on the very young platform too. At last count there's over 6,000 which isn't bad for a few months in (faster than any other platform). While its true to say the iPhone and others do have a collection of useful apps that aren't available on WP7 due to OS restrictions they too will change over a short period as they open up the OS. I'd probably say the 2012 will be a more telling time for the OS as it should have most of the 'negatives' ironed out by then. It will be interesting to see how it plays out..
Posted by: Garry Mc 20 Jan 2011
bmovie - Wonder where you get your facts from!
CopyPast is announced in the first update - early 2011. First version of iphone took a long time to get it. Windows phone is on att and tmo, and soon on verizon. What do you mean it is not backward compatible? What exactly are you looking for in this context?
Posted by: OscarWinner 20 Jan 2011
Huh?
@Marco I have to disagree with you on the iPhone being a clear winner. Android is dominating the market right now. I couldn't tell you why because the platform is unappealing and a blatant rip-off of the iPhone, but it currently out-sells the iPhone something like 3 to 1. And funny description of the Windows Phone there. Haven't heard that one before. Note: avoid the use of "infantile" because it almost sounds like you're praising it's ease of use (which I've heard is actually one of it's strong points). @bmovie They also released on T-Mobile. And isn't FaceTime an Apple product? I doubt Apple is going to release that for a competing phone. And I don't see what having a tablet platform has to do with phone sales. Seriously, that list sucks. Think of *actual* problems with the Windows Phone (like copy and paste). I personally think it will be an interesting year. Hard to tell if Windows Phone will be a success, but it does have Xbox Live integration which should be very favorable for it.
Posted by: Mojo 20 Jan 2011
...and pigs will fly
There is no FaceTime. There is no Copy and Paste. Windows is 2 years behind. There is no Tablet. PC Purchases are down. Windows Phone 7 is only on AT&T. Windows Phone 7 is not backwards compatible. ...but go ahead and believe.
Posted by: bmovie 19 Jan 2011