There are still only a limited number of operators providing fixed WiMax
(mostly pre-WiMax and not certified WiMax) services in the UK, including
Telabria in Kent and Metranet in Brighton.
The issue is the domination of the incumbent carrier BT, which maintains a
high penetration of wired broadband links. Pipex is planning to launch fixed
wireless services in the London area in 2007, which if it succeeds will probably
become the largest provider of last mile access using WiMax.
I am not aware of WiMax being used specifically in carrier or service
provider backhaul networks at the moment, but BT's recent announcement of
wireless cities will see fixed WiMax playing a role there as well as in the last
mile.
The biggest role for fixed WiMax will be in the developed world in the next
few years, primarily to provide last mile access to SMEs. The advantages include
fast installation, high speed, and quality of service (QoS) features that leased
line/DSL services cannot match.
Some providers, especially the larger ones, are playing the wait and watch
game for mobile WiMax. But the smaller ISPs, like Telabria, are taking advantage
of the delay and serving rural communities where the quality of DSL
infrastructure has deteriorated, so there is a difference in strategy depending
on the size of the service provider.
Mobile WiMax certified equipment will be available in Q1 2007 and you will
see commercial services being rolled out in the same year, either on pre-WiMax
or certified WiMax equipment.
These will complement rather than compete with 3G mobile services, however.
Operators' billion dollar 3G investments will not be affected by Mobile WiMax.
Instead they will use Mobile WiMax as either a filler or complementary network
to existing 3G provision.
In my view Mobile WiMax will also see large adoption in fixed wireless
services initially and so will affect fixed WiMax take-up. Unlike 3G, which has
a large voice component, mobile WiMax will be primarily data driven, according
to Juniper Research's own estimates, voice will be a very small component.
Mobile WiMax is built upon orthogonal frequency division multiple access
(OFDMA), which is superior to 3G's code division multiple access (CDMA)
technology. In general CDMA suffers from issues like multipath fading (poor
signal reception), cell shrinkage and interference issues with neighboring
cells.
All of these issues have been taken care of in OFDMA, which has a higher
spectral efficiency and lower cost per bit. This makes it commercially viable
for a service provider or network operator to deliver a larger amount of data to
a wider subscriber base at a lower cost.
3G, however, has a big head start in the market. It is already supported by a
large base of operators, whereas mobile WiMax will take until 2007-2008 to
appear.
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