A lot has been written about WiMax technology recently, but it’s important to
remember that there are two types of this wireless broadband technology. Both
have different roadmaps, applications and chances of short- and long-term
success.
The fixed wireless version is available and on the brink of widespread
deployment in the UK, where a viable business case for using it has been
identified. The mobile version is a different story, irrespective of what Intel
says.
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Some say fixed WiMax broadband services will struggle to displace other
broadband technologies and find a niche in Britain’s urban sprawls. But WiMax
does have potential to offer the same bandwidth as DSL and fibre alternatives
and at a fairer price. Or at least a price that service providers feel the
market can bear while being competitive enough to convince business customers to
switch.
Pilot services suggest WiMax providers aim to challenge high-cost symmetrical
DSL (SDSL) and even more extortionate metropolitan area network (MAN) Ethernet
offerings. So as long as fixed WiMax can answer lingering questions about
line-of-sight requirements and radio interference problems, undercutting rival
prices by 50 percent or more might well prove a winning strategy.
So the mountain that fixed WiMax has to climb doesn’t look too steep or
fraught with competitive danger, after all. But the same is not true of mobile
WiMax, even though Intel said it will ship WiMax cards and integrated adapters
in the second half of this year.
It will be some time before there are enough mobile WiMax clients in the wild
to persuade service providers that the pool of potential customers is big enough
to warrant commercial offerings. And by that time, Wi-Fi may already have
achieved blanket coverage in the UK’s travel hubs, where most road warriors kill
a little time by responding to emails or browsing the web.
And when those same travellers find themselves out of hotspot range,
third-generation (3G) mobile connections based on faster High-Speed DownLink
Packet Access (HSDPA) are waiting to pounce, scheduled to start delivering
around 1.5Mbit/s of bandwidth to anyone with a suitably enabled PC Card or
mobile handset by the end of this year.
So it’s hard to see where WiMax fits in, other than perhaps, to do exactly
the same thing only faster. If that’s the case, why bother having either Wi-Fi
or 3G at all, especially considering that putting WiMax chips alongside either
in portable devices is likely to be a crippling drain on power?
But perhaps that is actually what the WiMax supporters have in mind: mobile
WiMax not as a supplement to existing incarnations of wireless broadband, but a
straightforward long-term replacement that avoids the one problem that
manufacturers of mobile devices never seem to satisfactorily solve – battery
life.
Do you agree?
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